Setting expectations for Vista and Office ship dates

Bill Gates just gave a speech in South Africa. According to the AP report:

Microsoft Corp. Chairman Bill Gates said Tuesday there was an 80 percent chance the company’s next-generation operating system, Vista, would be ready in January.

[…]

“We got to get this absolutely right,” Gates said. “If the feedback from the beta tests shows it is not ready for prime time, I’d be glad to delay it.”

[…]

Gates said he hoped the next version of Office would be ready in December.

Hope, as they say, is not a development plan.

Without seeing the exact transcript of BillG’s words, I can’t really say what he meant. But the formulation “would be ready” implies “released to manufacturing (RTM).” If so, then the January date for Windows Vista represents a delay of about two months based on the last announcement from Microsoft. That sounds about right to me.

The one thing I think you can say with confidence based on this report is that you won’t be able to buy Office 2007 or Windows Vista this year.

(via Microsoft News Tracker)

Untangling Windows license confusion

In the comments to an earlier post on Windows licensing, Pam asks:

I recently bought a used computer(windows 98) because my old one died and I have a back-up copy of windows xp from my old computer, can I use the windows xp cd and install it on my windows 98 computer?

The correct answer, of course, as with all things Windows-related, is, “Maybe.” Before I can answer that question, I need two additional pieces of information:

  1. What type of license was included with the original copy of Windows XP? If it was an OEM copy that came preinstalled with the computer, then no, you can’t transfer it. The terms of an OEM license say you can run it only on the computer on which it was installed originally. If it was a retail copy, either a full copy or an upgrade, then …

  2. What happened to the old computer? If you’re still using it, or if you sold it or gave it away without completely removing Windows XP, then no, you can’t legally reuse the license. But if you completely wiped it clean and kept the CD, the product key, and the certificate of authenticity, then yes, you can install it on the new computer.

Note that there’s a difference between you can legally do and what you can do in practice. Legally, you can have Windows XP installed on only one computer at the same time. In practice, however, you can activate your copy of Windows XP on a second computer, maybe even a third or fourth, by activating each subsequent installation over the phone and telling a tall tale to the agent on the phone.

For more questions (and answers!) about licensing Windows and Office, see How much do you know about Microsoft licensing? at ZDNet.

Spam of the month

Now, this takes some serious cojones:

After the last annual calculations of your fiscal activity we have determined that you are eligible to receive a tax refund of $63.80. Please submit the tax refund request and allow us 6-9 days in order to process it.

A refund can be delayed for a variety of reasons. For example submitting invalid records or applying after the deadline.

To access the form for your tax refund, please click here [link removed]

Regards,

Internal Revenue Service 
    
   © Copyright 2006, Internal Revenue Service U.S.A. All rights reserved..

The link, of course, goes to a phony site.

Irs_phish

It started at a hijacked web server in the U.S. and then jumped to a phony site in Romania. Too bad the U.S. government doesn’t have anyone in charge of this kind of stuff.

Firefox OS? Unlikely

Todd Bishop of the Seattle PI speculates on whether the Mozilla crew is thinking of spinning off a Firefox PC operating system. It’s pretty thin speculation, and I’d dismiss it out of hand, at least in the guise of a built-from-the-ground-up OS. It takes years to build an OS kernel from scratch.

Now, it’s certainly possible that the Firefox folks and their good buddies at Google could pick a Linux distro, slap some app software into it, and make it available as a CD or even an OEM install. But it’s hard to imagine how yet another Linux is going to make much of a dent in the Microsoft/Apple market for consumer operating systems.

Heckuva job opening

This can’t be good news:

It has been nearly a year since Homeland Security Department Secretary Michael Chertoff announced the creation of a position for an assistant cyber security czar.

Chertoff made the announcement as part of a six-point agenda July 13, 2005, which identified elevating the position to an assistant Cabinet-level post as part of an overall strategy to “ensure that the department’s policies, operations, and structures are aligned in the best way to address the potential threats — both present and future.”

That position remains unfilled.

What on earth are they waiting for?

Why I still care about Windows

Sometimes the most interesting discussions in the blogosphere occur in comments. Case in point: There’s a vigorous, spirited, occasionally acrimonious conversation going on in the comments at Mini-Microsoft’s blog. One commenter ticked off a list of what Microsoft has done in the Windows space since 2001 and was greeted with this reply from another commenter:

Service packs now count as great products?

To which Mini responds:

For XP SP2, yes. To call this a “service pack” is to belittle what it truly is. We should have called it something far more dramatic and important to represent the stop everything! moment that happened to recreate XP and put in security measures that match the modern world’s risks.

The ball was dropped not only in the promotion of this product but also in the distribution. All that effort, and then XP SP2 was basically told to slip out through the bit-dribbler back door and not make any noise vs. being heavily promoted and distributed.

We really should have heralded this accomplishment at the time. Shipping XP SP2 is what I see as a proud turning point for XP and Windows.

(crickets.)

Yes, really.

Apple has released – what? – five new versions of OS X since 2001, each with a catchy animal name. In essence, they’re service packs that deliver both bug fixes and new features. Customers have to pay for them. But they get credit for keeping their OS up to date.

Meanwhile, since 2001 Microsoft has produced:

  • SP2, which as Mini correctly points out should have been given a fancy name (no, not Windows XP Reloaded) and distributed as a free upgrade
  • Three releases of Windows Media Center, the latest of which is arguably the best Windows ever and is the default choice on most premium home PCs these days
  • Windows Server 2003 (with a service pack and an R2 refresh), which basically shut up the “Microsoft can’t produce a secure, reliable server” crowd and which will serve as the code base for Windows Vista
  • Two releases of Windows Mobile for handheld devices, the latest of which absolutely rocks
  • A couple versions of Windows XP Tablet PC Edition, which basically put to rest the old stereotypes of handwriting recognition, ironically created by Apple’s Newton.

When people ask me why I still care about Windows, this is what I tell them.

Last call for Vista Beta 2

’Softie Ian Moulster says you’ve got one more day to order your copy of Windows Vista Beta 2:

In case you weren’t aware, we are only providing a limited number of copies of Windows Vista Beta 2 – either download or physical copies – and we’re fast approaching the cut-off point,

What this means is – if you want to get a copy, get it now (and I mean now). Visit http://www.microsoft.com/betaexperience/engb and either download or order. Because WE WILL BE WITHDRAWING ACCESS VERY SOON. Did I say that loudly enough?

The cut-off date is tomorrow, June 30, 2006.

Update: And now it’s officially closed:

Thank you for your interest in Windows Vista. The Customer Preview Program is now closed. We have reached our program capacity and no new orders are being accepted. We apologize for any inconvenience.
For registered customers who have received a Product Key the download sites will remain open until Friday, July 14.